UK Public Sector Contracts & Tenders

The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is an independent, statutory body established under the 2008 Climate Change Act. It is tasked with: • Providing independent advice to the Government on risks and opportunities to the UK from climate change, in part through the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment, and reporting to Parliament on progress in adapting to climate change. • Providing independent advice to Government on setting and meeting carbon budgets in line with the UK's longer-term target to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to net zero by 2050 and reporting to Parliament on the progress made. To do this, we conduct independent analysis into climate science, economics and policy, and engage with a wide range of organisations and individuals to share evidence and analysis. Our past reports are available here. The UK Climate Change Act 2008 requires that every five years, the UK government must publish a Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA). The CCRA seeks to provide an authoritative and up-to-date assessment of the risks and opportunities facing the UK from climate change and the adaptation actions that need to be put in place across society to ensure that the UK is well-placed to manage these risks. The Fourth UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA4) Government Report is due to be published in January 2027. As with CCRA2 and CCRA3 it will be based on an Independent Assessment that the CCC has been commissioned by Defra to lead; this will be published in mid-2026. As part of CCRA4, the CCC will be developing a new output to complement the Technical Report as produced in previous CCRAs. This output - to be known as the 'Well-adapted UK report' (WA report) - will focus on the potential for key aspects of the UK adaptation challenge to reduce the climate risks threatening the achievement of key UK policy and societal outcomes and hence set out a vision for aspects of a well-adapted UK. The WA report aims to provide a policy-relevant evidence base on effective systemic adaptation scenarios, their costs and benefits (and how these are distributed across society). It aims to use this information to establish a resilience standard against the risks modelled for key societal systems and establish the investment requirements to meet this standard. The report will be tailored to best inform the development of effective actions in the next set of national adaptation programmes from governments across the UK (covering the late 2020s and early 2030s). It also seeks to provide a more spatial and quantitative representation of UK climate risks and adaptation, an improved understanding of the potential for cascading climate risks, and their interactions with other key policy priorities such as delivering Net Zero. *** See attached for more details ***

A Pre-Procurement Notice from the Climate Change Committee (CCC) Background on the CCC The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is an independent, statutory body established under the Climate Change Act 2008. Our purpose is to advise the UK and devolved governments on emissions targets and to report to Parliament on progress made in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and preparing for and adapting to the impacts of climate change. Part of the CCC's role is to advise the Government on the appropriate level for each carbon budget - a cap on the amount of greenhouse gases emitted in the UK over a five-year period. The budgets describe the cost-effective pathway to achieving the UK's long-term climate change objectives. They take account of economic, social and technological factors. We are in the early stages of our work programme for the Seventh Carbon Budget (the period from 2038-2042). As part of this we would like to update our pathways for emission reductions from wastewater treatment. ****** See attachment for more detail ********

The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is an independent, statutory body established under the 2008 Climate Change Act. It is tasked with: • Providing independent advice to the Government on risks and opportunities to the UK from climate change, in part through the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment, and reporting to Parliament on progress in adapting to climate change. • Providing independent advice to Government on setting and meeting carbon budgets in line with the UK's longer-term target to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to net zero by 2050, and reporting to Parliament on the progress made. To do this, we conduct independent analysis into climate science, economics and policy, and engage with a wide range of organisations and individuals to share evidence and analysis. Our past reports are available here. The UK Climate Change Act 2008 requires that every five years, the UK government must publish a Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA). The CCRA seeks to provide an authoritative and up-to-date assessment of the risks and opportunities facing the UK from climate change and the adaptation actions that need to be put in place across society to ensure that the UK is well-placed to manage these risks. The Fourth UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA4) Government Report is due to be published in January 2027. As with CCRA2 and CCRA3 it will be based on an Independent Assessment that the CCC has been commissioned by Defra to lead; this will be published in mid-2026. As part of CCRA4, the CCC will be developing a new output to complement the Technical Report as produced in previous CCRAs. This output - to be known as the 'Well-adapted UK report' (WA report) - will focus on the potential for key aspects of the UK adaptation challenge to reduce the climate risks threatening the achievement of key UK policy and societal outcomes and hence set out a vision for aspects of a well-adapted UK. The WA report aims to provide a policy-relevant evidence base on effective systemic adaptation scenarios, their costs and benefits (and how these are distributed across society). It aims to use this information to establish a resilience standard against the risks modelled for key societal systems and establish the investment requirements to meet this standard. The report will be tailored to best inform the development of effective actions in the next set of national adaptation programmes from governments across the UK (covering the late 2020s and early 2030s). It also seeks to provide a more spatial and quantitative representation of UK climate risks and adaptation, an improved understanding of the potential for cascading climate risks, and their interactions with other key policy priorities such as delivering Net Zero. **** See attachment for full details ****

The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is an independent, statutory body established under the Climate Change Act 2008. Our purpose is to advise the UK and devolved governments on emissions targets and to report to Parliament on progress made in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and preparing for and adapting to the impacts of climate change. Part of the CCC's role is to undertake an assessment of the risks and opportunities from climate change facing the UK now and, in the future, through the Climate Change Risk Assessment. We have begun work to inform the Fourth Climate Change Risk Assessment for the UK, and as part of this we would like to explore in detail how climate change might impact some of the UK's critical systems. One of the systems we would like to explore in depth is the UK's cold-supply chains which are integral to supplying and exporting essential products including perishable food products and critical medicines/pharmaceutical products. - The cold chain enables pharmaceutical trade (e.g. in vaccines, medicines and therapies) worth around £50bn a year to the UK economy (UK's fifth largest import sector and fourth largest export sector last year). - Also enables around £30bn a year in food trade (heavily weighted towards imports, main products: meat, dairy, seafood and fruit and veg). The food and drink industry is the largest manufacturing sector in the UK - Directly employs around 100,000 in the UK. - Food refrigeration is estimated to be responsible for 2-4% of the UKs total GHG emissions *** See attachment for further information ***

The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is an independent, statutory body established under the Climate Change Act 2008. Our purpose is to advise the UK and devolved governments on emissions targets and to report to Parliament on progress made in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and preparing for and adapting to the impacts of climate change. Part of the CCC's role is to advise the Government on the appropriate level for each carbon budget - a cap on the amount of greenhouse gases emitted in the UK over a five-year period. The budgets describe the cost-effective pathway to achieving the UK's long-term climate change objectives. They take account of economic, social and technological factors. We are about to start our work programme for the Seventh Carbon Budget (the period from 2038-2042). As part of this we would like to explore the impacts, delivery challenges and opportunities that are likely at the tail end of the transition to electric vehicles (EVs). *** See supporting documentation for further details ***

A Pre-Procurement Notice from the Climate Change Committee Background The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is an independent, statutory body established under the Climate Change Act 2008. Our purpose is to advise the UK and devolved governments on emissions targets and to report to Parliament on progress made in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and preparing for and adapting to the impacts of climate change. Part of the CCC's role is to advise the Government on the appropriate level for each carbon budget - a cap on the amount of greenhouse gases emitted in the UK over a five-year period. The budgets describe the cost-effective pathway to achieving the UK's long-term climate change objectives. They take account of economic, social and technological factors. We are about to start our work programme for the Seventh Carbon Budget (the period from 2038-2042). As part of this we would like to explore the interaction between industrial decarbonisation and UK industrial production. *** See attachment for further details ****

The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is an independent, statutory body established under the Climate Change Act 2008. Our purpose is to advise the UK and devolved governments on emissions targets and to report to Parliament on progress made in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and preparing for and adapting to the impacts of climate change. The CCC's Sixth Carbon Budget scenarios imply growing and enduring savings in operating costs, alongside a major investment programme. To 2030, the largest cost increases affecting households are for decarbonising buildings. Large savings are available for households in other areas, most notably in transport from the shift to electric cars. However, even in areas where costs are likely to fall relative to today, the distribution of costs and savings could create both 'winners' and 'losers' during the transition. Achieving Net Zero in the UK will also result in significant benefits to human health from better air quality, less noise, more active travel and a shift to healthier diets. Changes to land use and farming practices that cut emissions can also improve air quality and water quality and benefit biodiversity, resilience to climate change and bring recreational benefits. Benefits could partially or fully offset costs. As set out in the CCC's Sixth Carbon Budget advice, a key challenge on the path to Net Zero is how to spread the costs and benefits of the transition across the economy: for households, businesses and the Exchequer. The CCC recently commissioned Frontier Economics to develop a set of household archetypes (using Ofgem's archetypes as a starting point) and a distributional impacts model, to explore the costs faced by households from decarbonising homes and transport. The archetypes developed are shown in Table 1. This analysis will only tell part of the story, as it does not yet incorporate the co-benefits enjoyed by households alongside any direct financial costs or savings. We are therefore interested in exploring the co-benefits of our Sixth Carbon Budget scenarios that the 15 archetypes developed by Frontier could face. We are inviting feedback on early procurement ideas for this, to gauge the feasibility of undertaking credible and robust analysis in this space, before deciding whether to put out a project to tender. *** see attachment for more information ***

The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment Under the Climate Change Act 2008 (section 57), an assessment of the risks facing the UK from the current and predicted impact of climate change is required every 5 years. The CCC is responsible for providing independent advice to the UK Government to inform that assessment. The Committee has recently provided its advice to the UK Government on the risks and opportunities facing the UK from current and future climate change as part of the third Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA3) - this was summarised in its Independent Assessment of UK Climate Risk which was published in summer 2021. The fourth UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA4) is due for completion by June 2026. CCRA4 will assess climate change risks to the UK using a more spatially defined approach than previous CCRAs, giving an assessment of the spatial distribution of climate risks across the UK and a more localised view of adaptation needs. In order to assess climate risks at a spatial scale in CCRA4, the CCC are seeking to identify existing spatial modelling tools, initiatives and datasets that can be used to assess the spatial distribution of climate risks across the economy and the natural environment. ** See specification for more information and how to apply**

Under the Climate Change Act 2008 (section 57), an assessment of the risks facing the UK from the current and predicted impact of climate change is required every 5 years. The CCC is responsible for providing independent advice to the UK Government to inform that assessment. The Committee has recently provided its advice to the UK Government on the risks and opportunities facing the UK from current and future climate change as part of the third Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA3) - this was summarised in its Independent Assessment of UK Climate Risk which was published in summer 2021. The fourth UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA4) is due for completion by June 2026. CCRA4 will assess climate change risks to the UK using a more spatially defined approach than previous CCRAs, giving an assessment of the spatial distribution of climate risks across the UK and a more localised view of adaptation needs. To help inform that design of the next CCRA we are looking to commission a piece of work to better understand non-Government user needs for the next CCRA. Whilst the priority audiences for the CCRA are Government users, we are conscious that there are a range of current and potential users outside of Government. By understanding their usage of climate risk information from the national risk assessment, including demands for more spatially refined and quantitative data, CCRA4 could be designed to best serve these needs alongside those of the Government audiences. ** See specification for more information **

Under the Climate Change Act 2008 (section 57), an assessment of the risks facing the UK from the current and predicted impact of climate change is required every 5 years. The CCC is responsible for providing independent advice to the UK Government to inform that assessment. The Committee has recently provided its advice to the UK Government on the risks and opportunities facing the UK from current and future climate change as part of the third Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA3) - this was summarised in its Independent Assessment of UK Climate Risk which was published in summer 2021. The fourth UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA4) is due for completion by June 2026. CCRA4 will assess climate change risks to the UK using a more spatially defined approach than previous CCRAs, giving an assessment of the spatial distribution of climate risks across the UK and a more localised view of adaptation needs. To inform the next CCRA we are looking to commission a review of formally attributable impacts from past and present climate change in the UK. This review will draw on existing literature and cover both the attribution of changes in climate impact drivers as well as attributable impacts on human systems and ecosystems in the UK. ** See specification for more detail **

We are seeking to commission advice on where spatial climate change risk assessment can be most productive for understanding UK risk and adaptation effectiveness. This project is intended to inform the design of subsequent spatial research activities on quantifying climate risk (and its variably across the UK) and the effectiveness of adaptation (including costings). The assessment of productive focus areas for spatial risks assessment and the case studies and pilot modelling studies illustrating this will aim to better understand of where spatial analysis will be most useful and to the likely challenges associated with national-scale spatial risks assessments to deliver on the CCRA4 aims. The key tasks are: 1. Assessment of CCRA3 risks for appropriateness of spatial analysis approaches 2. Case studies of spatial analysis of UK climate risks and adaptation potential *** See specification for more detail ***

The Government has recently recognised the need to reduce traffic growth in their Transport Decarbonisation Plan and Net Zero Strategy. The Transport Decarbonisation Plan also set out a goal for half of all journeys in towns and cities to be walked or cycled by 2030 and a separate target to double cycling (relative to 2013 levels) and increase levels of walking per person by 2025. Our Sixth Carbon Budget advice identified four factors that could contribute to a reduction in private car travel: societal and technological changes, increase in car occupancy, modal shift to active travel and modal shift to public transport. This research focuses primarily on the latter two modal shift elements. Under the CCC's Balanced Net Zero Pathway scenario for the Sixth Carbon Budget we assume that 5-7% of car journeys could be shifted to walking and cycling (including e-bikes) by 2030, rising to 9-14% by 2050. We also assume that between 9-12% of car trips can be switched to public transport by 2030, increasing to 17-24% by 2050. These assumptions translate to lower percentages of distance, given that the shortest trips are most likely to switch. *** See Specification for more detail ***

1 Preamble The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is an independent, statutory body established under the Climate Change Act 2008. Our purpose is to advise the UK and devolved governments on emissions targets and to report to Parliament on progress made in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and preparing for and adapting to the impacts of climate change. 2 Background The CCC's Sixth Carbon Budget scenarios imply growing and enduring savings in operating costs, alongside a major investment programme. To 2030, the largest cost increases affecting households are for decarbonising buildings. Large savings are available for households in other areas, most notably in transport from the shift to electric cars. However, even in areas where costs are likely to fall relative to today, the distribution of costs and savings could create both 'winners' and 'losers' during the transition. Achieving Net Zero in the UK will also result in significant benefits to human health from better air quality, less noise, more active travel and a shift to healthier diets. Changes to land use and farming practices that cut emissions can also improve air quality and water quality and benefit biodiversity, resilience to climate change and bring recreational benefits. Benefits could partially or fully offset costs. Adapting to a changing climate could also result in co-benefits beyond direct policy impacts. As set out in the CCC's Sixth Carbon Budget advice, a key challenge on the path to Net Zero is how to spread the costs and benefits of the transition across the economy: for households, businesses and the Exchequer. The CCC commissioned Frontier Economics in early 2022 to develop a set of household archetypes (using Ofgem's archetypes as a starting point) and a distributional impacts model, to explore the costs and savings to households from decarbonising homes and transport. The archetypes developed are shown in Table 1. This analysis will only tell part of the story, as it does not yet incorporate the co-benefits enjoyed by households alongside any direct financial costs or savings. We are specifically interested in exploring the health co-benefits of our Sixth Carbon Budget scenarios from which the 15 archetypes developed by Frontier could benefit. *** Please specification for more detail ***

The CCC's advice on the level of Sixth Carbon Budget in the 2030s was accepted by Government in 2021 . Meeting the Sixth Carbon Budget and the longer-term Net Zero target by 2050 requires contribution from all sectors of the economy, including the agriculture and land use, land use change and forestry (LULUCF) sectors. This will require a transformation in how land is used in the UK, with land released out of agricultural production for alternative uses such as afforestation, peatland restoration and bioenergy crops. Under the Balanced Pathway, we estimated that 9% of agricultural land would be needed to deliver these measures, rising to a fifth by 2050. In addition to climate change mitigation, transforming land use can deliver other multiple objectives, including adapting to climate change, biodiversity, and other environmental goals. The CCC's third Independent Assessment of UK Climate Risk (CCRA3) identified eight priority risk areas that the Committee identified as being critical for adaptation in the next two years, four of which relate to the natural environment and the use of land. Effective action to change land use before projected climate change impacts occur must be investigated to enable land managers to protect and enhance the land's ability to maintain the delivery of essential ecosystem services. Our analysis to date has focused on estimating the impact of land use change and management on carbon and GHG emissions at the national level (i.e. England and each of the devolved administrations (DAs)). In practice, the changes that are needed to mitigate and prepare for climate change will vary across different locations according to a range of climatic, economic, social and environmental factors, at the farm, catchment and landscape level. The aim of this project therefore is to identify and quantify the impact of a set of plausible land use transitions for a number of representative rural land use 'archetypes' in England and the UK's DAs out to 2035 and 2050. The transitions should focus on changes in land use and management that deliver increased carbon sequestration and GHG emissions reductions, and which can also contribute to climate resilience, maintenance of food production, increased biodiversity and deliver co-benefits such as access to nature. In some cases, there may be trade-offs, and these should also be identified. In future, the CCC expect to develop full spatial scenarios for UK land-use change that deliver across the multiple objectives. This project does not aim to develop these spatial scenarios, but it will be used to inform any such future work. *** See specification for more information *** Additional information: Closing date extended to 11/01/2023 @ 10am

The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is looking to widen its understanding of policy responses that both address recent economic pressures on households and businesses and deliver potential for accelerated emissions reduction. In addressing the increases in household and business costs that have resulted from energy prices pushing up the rate of inflation, Government should seek to identify options that also contribute to the UK's decarbonisation goals. Many countries are introducing policies with these dual aims in response to similar challenges and learning lessons from their efforts can inform a well-targeted policy response in the UK. The CCC is looking to analyse the international policy landscape in several key sectors, including buildings and transport. To inform this work, the CCC is tendering a project 1) to establish an up-to-date summary of the key policies, including where relevant those targeted primarily at shifting behaviours, 2) where possible, evaluating (both quantitively and qualitatively as appropriate) these policies against a set of pre-determined criteria and analysing their potential effectiveness in a UK context and 3) identifying where and why potential cost-saving climate policies exist but have not been pursued in the UK and suggesting policies that would fill these identified gaps. Given the fast-paced nature of the crisis, the tendered work needs to be delivered by 19/04/2023, at a cost of £40,000 - £50,000 excluding VAT. The CCC's past reports are available here: http://www.theccc.org.uk/reports/. *** See specification for more detail *** Additional information: Please note change to closing date, changed to 11/01/2023 @12pm - Please note that a second version of the specification has been issued with a revised timetable

The Climate Change Committee The Climate Change Committee (CCC) was set up as part of the Climate Change Act. The CCC is an independent body that advises both on reducing emissions in the UK and adapting to the climate changes in the UK. The CCC's full range of past reports are available here: Publications - Climate Change Committee (theccc.org.uk) 2 Background Local authorities - delivering Net Zero and climate resilience The planning system is the key lever that local authorities hold to shape developments in their regions. This can impact the design of communities, in particular the extent to which their buildings, transport systems, and land align to the pathways required to meet Net Zero and adapt to the changing climate. The present National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) does include objectives which emphasise that local plans should consider sustainability and climate impacts. However, these are ill-defined in comparison to other objectives (e.g. housing) and there is currently significant variation between local authorities in how they are being implemented. The CPRE (Campaign to Protect Rural England) recently undertook a piece of research that explored 24 local plans outside Greater London, concluding that climate is not generally being considered as a central priority in the vast majority, and that changes to the NPPF are needed to make clear what local authorities are expected to do to ensure that their plans are compliant with the wider Net Zero strategy. Our project should seek to build upon this work by trying to understand what specific barriers hinder better alignment between local plans and sustainability objectives, and how these should be overcome. Several other recent studies explore how the planning system can play a key role in delivering Net Zero: • Green Alliance's 2020 paper on the local climate challenge highlighted a misalignment of priorities in the planning system, as well as practical difficulties around the appraisal tools used and the powers available to local authorities. • The use of these tools was explored in more detail in UK100's 2021 report on local authority powers. • The Centre for Cities set out a vision for improved spatial planning to enable lower carbon community development in its 2021 work Other recent reports have produced adaptation guidance based on the NPPF and National Adaptation Programme (NAP) for local authorities. However, there is currently no mandatory requirement for local authorities to report on adaptation, and a lack of research combining the practical and structural barriers for delivering this guidance and recommendations for aligning adaptation/mitigation: • ADEPT, Defra and Local Adaptation Advisory Panel Guide • Town and Coastal Planning Association Adaptation guide • Local Partnerships Climate Adaptation Toolkit, which summarises the risks highlighted by the 3rd Climate Change Risk Assessment for local authorities. *** See Specification for more detail *** Additional information: Please note the following revisions; Closing date extended to 5pm 11 Jan 2023 interviews w/c 16th Jan 2023 Criteria weighting Amended 04.01.23 - Amendment to closing date 12th Jan 23 @ 5pm

1 Introduction and summary of requirements / Preamble The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is an independent, statutory body established under the Climate Change Act 2008. Our purpose is to advise the UK and devolved governments on emissions targets and to report to Parliament on progress made in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and preparing for and adapting to the impacts of climate change. The aim of this project is to expand our understanding of the historical extent of energy efficiency retrofits, identify current market trends, and assess the capacity for existing supply chains to grow and deliver the volume of retrofits implied by our Sixth Carbon Budget Pathways. 2 Background Across the UK, the number of energy efficiency measures installed in homes through government-backed schemes peaked in [2012]. Since then, installations have fallen significantly. The Government's target is for all UK homes to be at least EPC C by [2030]. However, at the current rate of progress this target will not be reached for decades. There is good data available which describes the number of households that have received energy efficiency improvements through government schemes, such as the Energy Company Obligation (ECO), the Green Deal Framework, the Green Homes Grant Local Authority Delivery Scheme (LAD) and the Social Housing Decarbonisation Fund (SHDF). However, we lack similar information about the extent of retrofits undertaken by owner occupiers, landlords and others without government backing. Rising energy prices have improved the economic case for energy efficiency. Reducing energy waste from homes is also an essential step to reduce emissions from buildings and reach Net Zero. As we (the CCC) are preparing work for our 2023 Progress Report, and the Seventh Carbon Budget, we want to update our approach to assessing the state of domestic energy efficiency. This entails developing a more comprehensive understanding of the current state of energy efficiency in UK homes, and the path the market has taken over the past fifteen years. We want to understand the remaining potential to improve homes, and the capacity within the market to grow supply chains to meet this need. We are tendering a project to develop this understanding. The tendered work needs to be delivered by [19/04/2023], at a cost of £32,000 - £40,000 excluding VAT. The CCC's past reports are available: http://www.theccc.org.uk/reports/. *** Please see Specification for more detail *** Additional information: Revised specification and ITT added 16.12.22 - change to dates

1 Introduction and summary of requirements / Preamble The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is an independent, statutory body established under the Climate Change Act 2008. Our purpose is to advise the UK and devolved governments on emissions targets and to report to Parliament on progress made in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and preparing for and adapting to the impacts of climate change. 2 Background In November 2020, the UK Government announced that all new sales of conventional petrol and diesel light-duty vehicles must end by 2030. Therefore, the automotive market will need to transition to electric vehicles. As the UK's transition to EVs ramps up, charging infrastructure will be needed to meet the demand of all drivers, whilst ensuring that the network is able to deliver the amount of charging required. It is likely that there will be certain periods throughout the year where demand will be higher than the average levels of travel demand on which the majority of charging infrastructure plans are likely to be based. For example, during winter months and particularly around the Christmas period, demand is expected to be higher as a result of higher consumer demand for home delivery, maintenance and medical services, as well as increased personal travel on certain days. Daily traffic flow data published by National Highways from their network of MIDAS detectors along the strategic road network can be used to infer information about demand variation along different roads. This data shows that, in 2019, on the motorway in one region there were nine days (mostly around bank holiday weekends) for which car traffic was over 10% above the typical weekly peak (Fridays). When compared to the overall average demand across the year, these peaks were around 30-40% higher. By contrast, demand on the motorway in another region was much more stable, with no days surpassing 10% above the typical weekly peak and variation from the overall daily average never exceeding 20%. This shows that there can be rare peak events on heavily trafficked tourist roads that see traffic climb considerably above typical demand. We would expect this to translate to excess peak demand for en-route charging at service stations along such roads. However, these patterns are not uniform, with demand on roads that are less associated with leisure travel showing less variation. Therefore, it is clear that, in some regions, there will be points across the year where demand is significantly higher than average. This raises the question - is the current plan for charging infrastructure deployment enough to meet the needs of drivers on these peak demand days? More in-depth exploration of data, such as National Highways, could be used to generate evidence-based peak demand scenarios. *** See Specification for more detail *** Additional information: The CCC project manager will be Jaya Jassi/Eoin Devane Tel: 07979117567 or 07920541882 Email: Jaya.jassi@theccc.org.uk or eoin.devane@theccc.org.uk

1 Introduction and summary of requirements / Preamble The Climate Change Committee is starting work on the 4th UK Climate Change Risk Assessment due to be published in 2026. To inform this, the CCC is tendering a project to understand the most up-to-date methodologies for valuing 1) the risk to the UK from climate change and 2) adaptation policies available to address this risk and 3) identifying the strengths and weaknesses of available approaches and where they would leave gaps. Given project timescales, the tendered work needs to be delivered by the end of April 2023, at a cost of £50,000 - £80,000 plus VAT. The CCC's past reports are available here: http://www.theccc.org.uk/reports The outputs from the 3rd Climate Change Risk assessment are available here: http://www.ukclimaterisk.org 2 Background The Climate Change Committee The Climate Change Committee was set up as part of the Climate Change Act. The CCC is an independent body that advises the UK and Devolved Governments on both reducing emissions in the UK and adapting to the impacts of climate changes. The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment Under the Climate Change Act 2008 (section 57), an assessment of the risks facing the UK from the current and predicted impact of climate change is required every 5 years. The CCC is responsible for providing independent advice to the UK Government to inform that assessment. The Committee has recently provided its advice to the UK Government on the risks and opportunities facing the UK from current and future climate change as part of the third Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA3) - this was summarised in its Independent Assessment of UK Climate Risk which was published in summer 2021. The CCC's advice on the fourth UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA4) is due for completion by June 2026. CCRA4 is aiming to consider different ways of presenting the economic consequences of climate change to the UK economy using a more integrated approach than was possible under the previous Climate Change Risk Assessments. It is also looking to consider how potential adaptation policy packages can be appraised. To inform this programme of economic analysis, the CCC is seeking to commission a creative and innovative piece of work establishing evidence on the existing methodologies adopted to-date for valuing climate impacts and appraising adaptation policy packages. Most importantly, the CCC are looking to encourage creative and innovative proposals on alternative/new methodologies to help inform the best approach and method design for the economic assessment to be used in CCRA4. *** See Specification for more information ***