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1 Introduction and summary of requirements The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is an independent, statutory body established under the Climate Change Act in 2008. The CCC has been commissioned by the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs to conduct the Fourth UK Climate Change Risk Assessment Independent Assessment (CCRA4-IA). This will assess the risk the UK faces from Climate Change across society and the economy and the potential adaptation actions that could be taken. We are looking to conduct this assessment at as narrow a spatial level as possible. 2 Background The CCC is currently collecting evidence and preparing its advice for the Fourth Climate Change Risk Assessment Independent Assessment (CCRA4), due for publication in 2026. This will look to assess the risks the UK faces today and in the future. It will also look to update the priority scoring of risks from CCRA3. It will assess adaptation actions that can be taken to reduce these risks. A key output the CCC is looking to produce for CCRA4 is the assessment of risk by household, business and local area/community characteristics. This project is looking to build the evidence of vulnerability under these three categories to facilitate this assessment. We require a contractor to produce a vulnerability dataset to be used within CCRA4 commissioned and in-house analyses. This dataset will be a key input into our research and will need to give an up-to-date spatial mapping of key vulnerabilities to climate change impacts across the UK and an indication of future vulnerabilities. 3 Aims and Objectives The CCC is looking to generate a database of indicators of vulnerability against climate change risks (as identified by CCRA), geographically mapped across the UK (including the Devolved Administrations (DAs) of Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and inhabited islands). The dataset should capture the key characteristics of households, businesses and local communities/economies that could drive vulnerability to the risks identified in CCRA3. These include: *** See Specification for more detail ****
From £49,999
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The CCC is currently collecting evidence and preparing its advice for the Fourth Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA4), due for publication in 2026. This will look to assess the risks the UK faces today and in the future, and assess adaptation actions that can be taken to reduce these risks. As part of CCRA4, we will be developing a new output to complement the Technical Report, as produced in previous CCRAs and assesses the range of risks and opportunities facing the UK from climate change and the urgency for adaptation in the next five years. This output - to be known as the 'Well-adapted UK report' (WA report) - will focus on the potential for key adaptation actions to reduce the climate risks threatening the achievement of key UK policy and societal outcomes and hence set out a vision for aspects of a well-adapted UK. The WA report aims to provide a policy-relevant evidence base on effective systemic adaptation scenarios, their costs and benefits (and how these are distributed across society) and the investment needs to deliver on them. One aspect of the WA report will consider the resilience of particularly critical sectors in the UK, and to inform these assessments we are commissioning analysis to assess the required level of resilience to minimise future rising risks associated with climate change, including quantification of a cost-optimal level of resilience. One of the areas we are assessing in depth is the resilience of cold supply chains in the UK. We would like to better understand how climate change could disrupt the UK's supply of essential goods that rely on a temperature-controlled supply chain. Specifically, we are interested in assessing the exposure, vulnerability, and resilience of the UK cold chain to temperature related climate hazards and evaluating cost optimal adaptation measures for the sector. We anticipate that the scale and complexity of the UK's cold supply chain will be difficult to analyse effectively in its entirety, so we propose developing a 'component analysis' which looks in depth at a range of tangible 'parts' of the supply chain to help build a national level picture of risk exposure and paths to resilience. We will be commissioning this research in two parts. The purpose of this specification is to commission Part 1 - a scoping study to develop the evidence base through a 'component analysis' covering a range of specific 'parts' of the cold supply chain which would be assessed in detail in a potential follow-on study (Part 2 - to be commissioned separately following completion of this scoping study). **** See Specification for more detail ****
From £50,000
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